REC Ltd
Fundamental and Technical Analysis of REC Ltd
STOCK ANALYSIS
3/28/20263 min read


Company Overview
REC Ltd (formerly Rural Electrification Corporation Limited) is a Maharatna‑category Central Public Sector Enterprise under the Ministry of Power, Government of India. It mainly provides long‑term loans and other financing products to central and state power utilities, distribution companies, and private developers across the entire power‑sector chain—generation, transmission, distribution, and renewable energy, including newer areas like electric vehicles and green hydrogen. Registered with the RBI as a non‑banking financial company, REC also funds select infrastructure projects in sectors such as roads, metros, airports, and logistics.
Business Segments
REC Ltd operates in three business segments: power-sector finance, renewable and new‑technology finance, and non‑power infrastructure and logistics finance. In power, it gives long‑term loans for generation (coal, gas, etc.), transmission, and distribution projects. It also finances renewable energy and newer areas like solar and green‑hydrogen projects, plus roads, metro, airports, and other infrastructure projects outside the power sector.
Financial Prospects of the Company
Valuation
The stock price (CMP) is ₹318
The market capitalisation is ₹83,855 crore
The book value per share is ₹317
The price-to-earnings (PE) ratio is 4.86
The price-to-book × PE (PB × PE) is 7.86
Profitability
The return on equity (ROE) is 21.5%
The return on capital employed (ROCE) is 9.96%
Leverage
The debt-to-equity ratio is 6.18
Income
The annual dividend yield is 5.86%
Liquidity
The company holds cash equivalents of ₹5,892 crore
The company's sales and profits in the last 5 years
In FY2020-21, sales were 35,556 crores, and profits were 8,378 crores.
In FY2021-22, sales were 39,776 crores, and profits were 10,036 crores.
In FY2022-23, sales were 39,486 crores, and profits were 11,167 crores.
In FY2023-24, sales were 47,517 crores, and profits were 14,145 crores.
In FY2024-25, sales were 56,369 crores and profits were 15,884 crores.
The company's sales and profit growth in the last 5 years
Over the last 5 years, sales growth were 13.5%, and profit growth were 26.1%.
Over the last 3 years, sales growth were 12.8%, and profit growth were 16.6%.
Over the last 1 year, sales growth was 12.2%, and profit growth was 10.2%.
Investors
Shareholdings Patterns
Promoters holds 52.63%%
FIIs holds 16.46%
DIIs holds 16.21%
Government holds 0.02%
Public holds 14.64%
Technical Analysis


Moving Averages (MA)
The stock is trading under the 50-MA and 200-MA, which indicates a strong bearish trend. Over the 1 year, the stock has droppen over a 40%.
Relative Strength Index (RSI)
The RSI of the stock is 39, which indicates that the stock is neither in the oversold zone nor in the overbought zone.
Chart Pattern
The chart pattern shows a strong bearish trend in the stock. This trend is likely to continue if the market continues to fall.
Strengths & Weaknesses
Strengths
Government‑owned Maharatna PSU with strong backing from the Ministry of Power, giving it high credit confidence.
Large and growing loan book (around ₹5–8 lakh crore expected by FY27) with exposure to power, renewables, and infrastructure.
Good return ratios like healthy ROE (around 20–22%) and improving ROCE, showing efficient use of capital.
Regular and attractive dividend payouts make it investor‑friendly for income‑oriented shareholders.
Strong presence in rural electrification, transmission, distribution, and green‑energy projects with a wide customer base across India.
Weaknesses
Very high debt level compared to equity (debt‑to‑net‑worth well above 40%), which increases financial risk.
Interest‑coverage and other leverage ratios are a concern, meaning the company may struggle to service interest if rates rise sharply.
Exposure mainly to power and infrastructure sectors, so profits can fall if power‑sector policies or demand slow down.
Valuation is often seen as rich or “expensive” at times, limiting upside for value‑oriented investors.
Relatively lower operating‑cash‑flow cover for debt, which reduces cushion during stress periods.
Future Plans of the Company
The company plans to keep growing its lending for power, renewable energy, and infrastructure projects while supporting India’s energy transition and rural electrification. It aims to expand its loan book significantly, raise about ₹1.6 lakh crore in borrowing for FY27, and strengthen its presence in areas like transmission and green‑energy financing. The company also wants to broaden its financial services footprint, including through a new entity at GIFT City, to tap into more domestic and international opportunities.
Analysis
REC Ltd’s stock looks positive over the medium to long term because of strong government backing, a large and growing loan book, and regular high dividend payouts. Brokers and analysts generally rate the stock as “buy” or “strong buy,” with many seeing upside if the company meets its disbursement and lending‑growth targets. However, the stock is also quite sensitive to interest‑rate moves and power‑sector risks, plus its high debt load can keep volatility higher than normal banks. In simple terms, if REC keeps growing its power and renewable‑energy loans, controls asset‑quality risks, and avoids big spikes in funding costs, the share price can move higher over the next few years, but short‑term swings can be sharp.
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